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Oscars 2016: Here's Who Is Probably Going To Win


With the 2016 Oscars now only a day away, it's time to start speculating. Who's going to walk away with this year's coveted Best Actor and Actress awards? Which movie will be crowned the best picture of the year? 

Here, we've got some solid guesswork on this year's winners. Here are our predictions for the biggest six categories at this year's Oscars.

Best Picture

An unusually tough one to call this year. Normally by this point in the awards season, there's a very clear frontrunner for Best Picture thanks to the Producers Guild of America Awards, which take place in late January.

The PGA Awards have correctly predicted the Best Picture winner for the last eight years running, and this year their top prize went to Wall Street satire The Big Short, which should make it this year's frontrunner.

But The Big Short, with its deliberately cynical and flippant tone, just doesn't feel like a Best Picture winner, at least not compared with Spotlight, which is an intelligent and sensitive depiction of the Boston journalists who uncovered sexual abuse in the Catholic Church. And then there's dark horse The Revenant, which won big at the Directors Guild Awards, making this a three-horse race to Best Picture. 

Nominees: Spotlight, The Big Short, The Revenant, Mad Max: Fury Road, The Martian, Bridge of Spies, Brooklyn, Room

Predicted winner: Spotlight

Best Actor

This is a done deal. Leo has now been nominated and lost out so many times that the once-hilarious memes have just become a bit tragic. We've all heard how tough The Revenant's shoot was–Leo ate bison liver and slept in animal carcasses, guys–and it's clear that the Academy is finally ready to reward Leo for his suffering. 


Nominees: Bryan Cranston (Trumbo), Matt Damon (The Martian), Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant), Michael Fassbender (Steve Jobs), Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl)

Predicted winner: Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant)

Best Actress

If there's any justice in Hollywood (and admittedly that's a big if) then Brie Larson should win for her breathtaking performance in Room, where she plays a young woman raising her son in captivity. Larson's definitely the frontrunner at this point–she and Leo both picked up awards at the Screen Actors Guild awards last month–and it's hard to imagine anyone beating her on the night.

Nominees: Cate Blanchett (Carol), Brie Larson (Room), Jennifer Lawrence (Joy), Charlotte Rampling (45 Years), Saoirse Ronan (Brooklyn)

Predicted winner: Brie Larson (Room)

Best Director

Traditionally the Academy doesn't reward action movies, but Mad Max: Fury Road director George Miller has a really, really good shot here. This "western on wheels" had a challenging shoot but emerged as one of the most critically praised movies of last year, and the 70-year-old Miller is a veteran filmmaker with plenty of respect. 

His biggest competition here is probably Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu—but Inarritu just won this award last year, for Birdman, and a director winning two years in a row is both unlikely and unheard of. 

Nominees: Tom McCarthy (Spotlight), Adam McKay (The Big Short), George Miller (Mad Max: Fury Road), Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu (The Revenant), Lenny Abrahamson (Room)

Predicted winner: George Miller (Mad Max: Fury Road)

Best Supporting Actor

Sly Stallone earned a standing ovation when he picked up a Golden Globe for his poignant comeback performance as Rocky, which suggests he's got some serious support in the industry. This is also a category in which beloved veterans are often rewarded. 

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It's worth noting, though, that Creed ended up at the centre of this year's diversity controversy – Stallone was nominated in lieu of any of his non-white colleagues, including director Ryan Coogler and star Michael B Jordan—and that could hurt Stallone's chances if Oscar voters want to steer away from that conversation.

Nominees: Christian Bale (The Big Short), Tom Hardy (The Revenant), Mark Ruffalo (Spotlight), Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies), Sylvester Stallone (Creed)

Predicted winner: Sylvester Stallone (Creed)

Best Supporting Actress

This might be the most open field of them all. Unlike last year, where Patricia Arquette's Boyhood turn was the favorite early on, nobody is clearly leading the pack here. McAdams and Leigh are hampered by the fact that their movies are ensemble-focused, but Mara, Vikander, and Winslet could all plausibly win.

Winslet is our pick, because a) she's already won the often-predictive Golden Globe for Supporting Actress, and b) the Academy loves Kate Winslet. Seriously. She's got six nominations and a win under her belt at this point.

Nominees: Jennifer Jason Leigh (The Hateful Eight) Rooney Mara (Carol), Rachel McAdams (Spotlight), Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl), Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs)

Predicted winner: Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs)


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